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  1. jwestbrock's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Rosterman
    Deduno is a thrower. It depends on his mindset. He has less control (working for him) than a Blackburn or a Silva, it seems. But watching him pitch, he is the perfect pitch-to-contact guy (in the sense that he throws the ball over the plate) but I don't see a gameplan. Like, what do I do when I do have a 3-2 count on a batter. What do I do when I get into a bad inning. How do I totally keep from having a bad inning? What do we throw each and every batter? I picture the catcher as a backstop that hopefully will get a great pitch or see the ball come out of the hand and be able to catch it/block it.

    He is a guy that you hope finishes this season stronger than he currently is. If he is out of the cute excellent next season, but the only plus on a Twins staff of rooookies, you sell as high as you can...because I don't see him keeping it up. I don't see him being a part of the 2015 or 2016 team and not sure that you need him to be.

    Yes, he would still be cheap. But I don't see him developing into a control pitcher at this stage of the game. He is getting by by towing those ground ball pitches and keeping batters uneasy in the box. If he had more control, he would make a great reliever if you were looking for that doubleplay, but right now the chance of a wild pitch makes you wince at putting him in that role.
    And that is more or less my point, you ride him until he fails, and he probably will because recent history says that guys like this don't stay around long. When it happens, say thank you and send him on his way.

    If you can, definitely sell high, but I don't see any other team giving anything of real value up for a 30 year old guy who just slings it up there.
  2. Rosterman's Avatar
    Deduno is a thrower. It depends on his mindset. He has less control (working for him) than a Blackburn or a Silva, it seems. But watching him pitch, he is the perfect pitch-to-contact guy (in the sense that he throws the ball over the plate) but I don't see a gameplan. Like, what do I do when I do have a 3-2 count on a batter. What do I do when I get into a bad inning. How do I totally keep from having a bad inning? What do we throw each and every batter? I picture the catcher as a backstop that hopefully will get a great pitch or see the ball come out of the hand and be able to catch it/block it.

    He is a guy that you hope finishes this season stronger than he currently is. If he is out of the cute excellent next season, but the only plus on a Twins staff of rooookies, you sell as high as you can...because I don't see him keeping it up. I don't see him being a part of the 2015 or 2016 team and not sure that you need him to be.

    Yes, he would still be cheap. But I don't see him developing into a control pitcher at this stage of the game. He is getting by by towing those ground ball pitches and keeping batters uneasy in the box. If he had more control, he would make a great reliever if you were looking for that doubleplay, but right now the chance of a wild pitch makes you wince at putting him in that role.
  3. jwestbrock's Avatar
    Old Nurse, that would be nice, but I think the same reasons that the Twins should not lock him in long term are the same reasons that kill his trade value, he is not young and you can find five guys, with possibly even better, longer track records, to take a flyer on in the offseason without giving anything up.

    AM. thank you, and the Westbrook/Westbrock thing that was kind of an interesting, definitely unintentional twist, but he is definitely the best case scenario because the rest of the names are not exactly awe inspiring.
  4. AM.'s Avatar
    Nice work. I agree that is he can reduce his walks a bit, that will be Deduno's best shot at being useful, with expected regression in his other numbers.

    Also interesting that the focus of this winds up on Jake Westbrook, jwestbrock.
  5. old nurse's Avatar
    Maybe some other GM will think Deduno is the next Jake Westbrook and the Twins can get a Corey Kluber type prospect in return
  6. JB_Iowa's Avatar
    Thanks for the analysis.

    I hope others will continue to build on this in explaining the change in Mauer's numbers.

    And I'm glad to read that his K rate has normalized in June.

    I suspect that being healthy may play somewhat into his numbers this year but while that may play into his power boost, it doesn't explain the changes in his swing and contact rates.
  7. AM.'s Avatar
    Great piece. The data you have presented, while barely over the threshold of small sample size, show two things:
    1)Mauer is swinging at more pitches, and
    2)Mauer has shifted where he hits the ball up in the spectrum; more fly balls/line-drives at the expense of ground balls.

    The question is whether he is changing his swing path to more of an uppercut, or swinging at more higher pitches? (Or another explanation?)

    One note...this is the first year he would have had the opportunity to work with Brunansky....maybe he's changed his approach slightly due to that?
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