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  • Putting Aaron Hicks in Perspective

    Aaron Hicks is a batting average eating goblin. This would be a common refrain among Twins fans if “batting average eating goblin” was common baseball lingo. We should probably work on making that happen.

    More importantly, we should put Hicks’s numbers into a little perspective. His astronomically, historically, atrociously low batting average, is astronomical, historic and atrocious, but let us free our minds a bit. The numbers I’m about to explore are not going to get good, I will grant you that, but perhaps they will make you feel better.

    With a batting average of .073, you can’t expect much out of a man’s OBP, so when you consider that Hicks has an OBP of .224, which is .150 points higher than his batting average, you have to give the dude a little credit. Bro knows how to take a walk. Granted, nobody here wants a speedy centerfielder leading off with a .224 OBP, but can I remind you that his BATTING AVERAGE IS .073!

    The most logical player to compare Hicks to is Ben Revere--even though there are probably people out there who say things like, “Well if the Twins had drafted Mike Trout they would have Mike Trout in centerfield so you should compare him to Mike Trout.”

    First of all, stop using his full name you weirdo. Second of all, that’s a dumb theory so I am going to ignore you.

    Had the Twins not traded Revere this offseason, he would have been the centerfielder. That seemed like the most likely scenario. You could argue that I should be comparing Hicks to Denard Span as well, but I think it was pretty much agreed upon that Span would be traded so I am not going to do that. Question me accordingly.

    That said, how do Hicks and Revere compare?

    .073/.224/.073
    .207/.242/.230

    It’s pretty obvious from that .073 which fella is the owner of which stat line, but both are pretty freaking bad.

    As speed guys, OBP is the most important number in the slash line, and notice how negligible the difference is. Now notice that Revere is also batting .207 and not driving the ball (which is basically a given, of course). Hicks is getting on base at a similar clip to Revere, and the dude looks like he’s never even been to a pińata party, let alone swung a bat in a Major League Baseball game.

    Hicks has never been this bad. He can hit. He never had a great batting average in the minors, but there is no question among scouts that he can hit. He isn’t going to hit .073 forever, and even if he hits .230 this year, that has to give you a little hope for the future considering he is nearly 100 at bats in and his BATTING AVERAGE IS .073!

    Point being, aside from Revere’s spectacular catch the other night, and his irresistible boyish grin, I would much rather have Hicks and Vance Worley right now. Even with that .073 BATTING AVERAGE!

    Plus, Hicks has clearly established himself as a guy whose OBP is .150 higher than his average, so if he ever hits .300+, he’ll have an OBP of almost .500. Because that’s how math works, dammit.
    This article was originally published in blog: Putting Aaron Hicks in Perspective started by EricJohnson
    Comments 21 Comments
    1. cmathewson's Avatar
      cmathewson -
      I agree with this. Plus, there's no where to go but up in the BA department. And that is going in the right direction. Also, two more years of team control, stronger arm, more power (when he starts making more contact), switch hitting. By the end of the year, everyone will be calling it an upgrade at the position. Add in Worley and May (who should be better than Worley as early as next year), and it's a win.
    1. USAFChief's Avatar
      USAFChief -
      First of all, stop using words like "bro," you weirdo. Second of all, you are unable to compose using complete sentences (para 4) so I am going to ignore you.
    1. spycake's Avatar
      spycake -
      After striking out 20 times in his first 46 PA, Hicks has only struck out twice in his last 24 PA. That's very encouraging.

      ZiPS projected him at .232/.314/.358 before the season. The ZiPS update has him down to .206/.299/.310 which isn't surprising, given his horrific start in the average and power departments. He's currently walking more than that, but if he doesn't start generating even a little bit of power, I could see the walk rate falling to those levels.
    1. mike wants wins's Avatar
      mike wants wins -
      I enjoyed your less serious writing style. Nicely done.
    1. EricJohnson's Avatar
      EricJohnson -
      "First of all, stop using words like "bro," you weirdo. Second of all, you are unable to compose using complete sentences (para 4) so I am going to ignore you."

      The quote in that sentence, although not classically punctuated aside from the capitalization of the first word, is very much a sentence. Some people think starting a sentence with "because" is also taboo, but mercifully writing is not finite. If you cannot read something with a sense of context, I suggest sticking to classic newspapers. The quotation is intentionally unpunctuated (not a real word, by the way) to give the reader a sense of the rambling nature with which I envision it being "spoken."

      Thank you for the literary criticism. Always helpful for honing the craft of writing.
    1. EricJohnson's Avatar
      EricJohnson -
      Quote Originally Posted by mike wants wins View Post
      I enjoyed your less serious writing style. Nicely done.
      Thanks, Mike. I would also like some wins.
    1. USAFChief's Avatar
      USAFChief -
      Quote Originally Posted by EricJohnson View Post
      "First of all, stop using words like "bro," you weirdo. Second of all, you are unable to compose using complete sentences (para 4) so I am going to ignore you."

      The quote in that sentence, although not classically punctuated aside from the capitalization of the first word, is very much a sentence. Some people think starting a sentence with "because" is also taboo, but mercifully writing is not finite. If you cannot read something with a sense of context, I suggest sticking to classic newspapers. The quotation is intentionally unpunctuated (not a real word, by the way) to give the reader a sense of the rambling nature with which I envision it being "spoken."

      Thank you for the literary criticism. Always helpful for honing the craft of writing.
      I was totally serious. However, since you want to go down this road...it is acceptable to start a sentence with the word "because." However, you still need to turn it into a complete sentence. "Because A, then B." "Because there are people who say things like, "Mike Trout yada yada yada," then I feel the need to make a comment about them." As constructed in your article, you have not formed a complete sentence. BTW, I agree people should wait a while to freak out about Hicks, and long term he's a better player than Revere. Oh, and you're welcome. Always glad to help out.
    1. nicksaviking's Avatar
      nicksaviking -
      I think we need Chuck Palahniuk to referee this particular thread.
    1. ashburyjohn's Avatar
      ashburyjohn -
      Quote Originally Posted by USAFChief View Post
      "Because there are people who say things like, "Mike Trout yada yada yada," then I feel the need to make a comment about them."
      Because the word "then" is unnecessary, your sentence flows better without it.
    1. USAFChief's Avatar
      USAFChief -
      Quote Originally Posted by ashburyjohn View Post
      Because the word "then" is unnecessary, your sentence flows better without it.
      I see what you did there.
    1. Wookiee of the Year's Avatar
      Wookiee of the Year -
      Quote Originally Posted by EricJohnson View Post
      Plus, Hicks has clearly established himself as a guy whose OBP is .150 higher than his average, so if he ever hits .300+, he’ll have an OBP of almost .500. Because that’s how math works, dammit.
      You used math wrong. His OBP is 3.07 times higher than his average, so in actuality, if he ever hits .300, his OBP will be .921.

      Something to look forward to.
    1. EricJohnson's Avatar
      EricJohnson -
      Quote Originally Posted by USAFChief View Post
      However, you still need to turn it into a complete sentence. "Because A, then B." "Because there are people who say things like, "Mike Trout yada yada yada," then I feel the need to make a comment about them." .
      Ha, you're right. Apparently I was completing my own sentence in my own head...which no work good in writing. Well played, bro, well played. My condescending sarcasm will slink away slowly now.
    1. cmathewson's Avatar
      cmathewson -
      It depends on what the definition of the word "is" is.
    1. ashburyjohn's Avatar
      ashburyjohn -
      Quote Originally Posted by USAFChief View Post
      I see what you did there.
      Because you are astute. (And the world needs more stutes.)
    1. ashburyjohn's Avatar
      ashburyjohn -
      Quote Originally Posted by cmathewson View Post
      It depends on what the definition of the word "is" is.
      I was with you up to the very end of your sentence but now I'm confused again.
    1. USAFChief's Avatar
      USAFChief -
      Quote Originally Posted by ashburyjohn View Post
      Because you are astute. (And the world needs more stutes.)
      Because I am astute, I also see what you did here.
    1. Brock Beauchamp's Avatar
      Brock Beauchamp -
      Not to be a grammar nazi but "astronomically" means large, not exaggerated or extreme.
    1. ashburyjohn's Avatar
      ashburyjohn -
      Quote Originally Posted by Brock Beauchamp View Post
      Not to be a grammar nazi but "astronomically" means large, not exaggerated or extreme.
      You can see his batting average from outer space, that's how small it is.
    1. h2oface's Avatar
      h2oface -
      I guess there are no Mark Twain fans here. But then, he made that up, too. I see that Twins Daily is no longer billed as "Independent. In-depth. Irreverent. Individuals". Must not have been proper sentences.
    1. glunn's Avatar
      glunn -
      Is it really necessary to debate grammar here? I enjoyed the blog, Eric. Thanks for posting it.
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