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  • Rochester Red Wings Season Preview

    Calling the 2013 Rochester Red Wings season a roller coaster ride would be considered a drastic understatement. Rochester started off the year at 2-11, finished the season 77-67, clinched a wild card birth and made their first playoff appearance in seven years.

    This year's team is completely different; none of the current pitchers were on last years opening day roster and just three position players from opening day are returning. After the momentum that was built from the 2013 team, manager Gene Glynn has a lot of talent on this team and expectations are higher than ever.

    Starting Rotation (With 2013 Teams & Stats)

    Scott Diamond:
    Fort Meyers: 0-0 7.20 ERA 5 IP 0 BB 3 SO
    Rochester: 4-0 2.41 ERA 41.0 IP 9 BB 19 SO
    Minnesota: 6-13 5.43 ERA 131 IP 36 BB 52 SO

    Alex Meyer: 2013 Season
    GCL Twins: 0-0 1.08 ERA 8.1 IP 3 BB 16 SO
    New Britain: 4-3 3.21 ERA 70 IP 29 BB 84 SO
    Glendale (AFL): 2-1 3.12 ERA 26 IP 7 BB 28 SO

    Kris Johnson: 2013 Season
    Indianapolis: 10-4 2.39 ERA 135.2 IP 43 BB, 94 SO
    Pittsburgh: 0-2 6.10 ERA 10.1 IP 4 BB 9 SO

    Trevor May: 2013 Season
    New Britain: 9-9 4.51 ERA 151.2 IP 67 BB 159 SO

    Logan Darnell: 2013 Season
    New Britain: 6-6 2.61 ERA 96.2 IP 23 BB 77 SO
    Rochester: 4-4 4.26 ERA 57 IP 22 BB 43 SO

    Some familiar names are locked into the rotation for Rochester. Logan Darnell and Scott Diamond spent time with the Red Wings last season and for Diamond it is his fourth straight year with Rochester. Alex Meyer, the 28th overall prospect according to MLB.com Top 100 Prospect List is the biggest name in the rotation and also the one with the highest expectations. 2014 is an important year for every player, but I would argue it’s even more important for Trevor May. With the Twins' off-season free agent signings and the expectation that Meyer will join the rotation by 2015, the window for May to be a starting pitcher in Minnesota is a small one.

    Standout Pitcher

    The obvious choice is to go with Alex Meyer or Scott Diamond, but as previously noted I believe Trevor May has the most to prove this season. For the past two seasons May has had an ERA well above four, and his strikeout to walk ratio was around two to one. In order for this season to be a successful, this ratio will need to improve to at least three to one, which would bring his ERA down as well.

    Starting Lineup (With 2013 Team & Stats)

    CF: Darin Mastroianni: GCL Twins - .143, 0 HR 2 RBI, 2 SB
    Fort Myers - .400, 0 HR, 0 RBI, 2 SB
    Rochester - .240, 0 HR, 5 RBI, 4 SB
    Minnesota - .185, 0 HR, 5 RBi, 2 SB

    2B: James Beresford: New Britain - .316, 0 HR, 19 RBI, 5 SB
    Rochester - .298 0 HR, 21 RBI, 5 SB

    RF: Chris Parmelee: Rochester - .231, 3 HR, 22 RBI
    Minnesota - .228, 8 HR, 24 RBI

    1B: Brad Nelson: Iowa - .271, 20 2B, 20 HR, 71 RBI.

    3B: Deibinson Romero: New Britain - .355 3 HR, 6 RBI
    Rochester - .266, 10 HR, 50 RBI 4 SB

    LF: Chris Rahl: Syracuse - .293, 8 HR, 42 RBI, 14 SB

    DH: Eric Farris: New Britain - .500 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB
    Rochester - .248, 3 HR, 31 RBI, 23 SB

    SS: Danny Santana: New Britain - .297, 2 HR, 45 RBI, 22 2B, 30 SB.

    C: Eric Fryer:Rochester- .215, 5 HR, 31 RBI, 8 SB
    Minnesota - .385 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB

    Similar to the start of the 2013 season, the Red Wings have three catchers on their 25-man roster again. Eric Fryer is expected to be the everyday catcher, however Dan Rohlfing & Chris Herrmann have experience playing other positions besides catcher.

    Breakout Pick

    Danny Santana is known for two things, his speed and his “shaky” defense. One of the things the Red Wings prided themselves on last season was good defense and drawing walks, things Santana has not done very well. Hitting coach Tim Doherty stresses plate discipline and that is something Santana could benefit from. Don’t be surprised to see Santana steal 40 bases in 2014 and also to draw 40+ walks, which would both be career highs.

    Season Prediction

    While Rochester has a very good team, Pawtucket and Buffalo have good rotations and perhaps better overall offenses than Rochester. Last season I drank the Kool-Aid and predicted a playoff birth. This season I expect the same, Rochester going 80-64, and for the first time since 1997, winning the International League North division title.
    Comments 11 Comments
    1. clutterheart's Avatar
      clutterheart -
      Last year I thought they were fielding a team that could be beaten by a lot of Low A teams. I predicted the worst record in Red Wing Franchise history and the city of Rochester would collectively throw the team into Canada. Instead Glynn kept the team together and they made the playoffs

      I will never doubt Gene Glenn again! I think they will be undefeated.
    1. Thrylos's Avatar
      Thrylos -
      Good stuff.

      Eric Farris will not be the DH One of the corner OFs, Cs, or 1B not playing on the field (Ramirez, Parmelee, Nelson, Rahl, Rohlfing, Herrmann, Fryer etc.) Farris will be the UT IF

      As far as starting pitching goes, despite the fact that they gave him the opening day assignment, Diamond is the 4th best starter in the group behind Meyer, May and Kris Johnson. And Darnell will be pushing him....
    1. Since71's Avatar
      Since71 -
      Great article. Can't wait to be sitting at Frontier Field with a dog and a beer watching Meyers deal. I have very high expectations for this Wings team.
    1. Pitz's Avatar
      Pitz -
      Has the rotation order been set? Is the way they are listed in the article the projected order?
    1. Thrylos's Avatar
      Thrylos -
      Quote Originally Posted by Pitz View Post
      Has the rotation order been set? Is the way they are listed in the article the projected order?
      Yes on both counts.
    1. Pitz's Avatar
      Pitz -
      Unfortunate for me, I was hoping to maybe catch Meyer in Lehigh Valley next week. That doesn't seem too likely.
    1. TheDean's Avatar
      TheDean -
      Any chance that Vargas pushes his way up to the 1B job in Rochester by midseason? Seems like he's a one-level-per-year kind of guy, but with Sano out and Rosario as a question mark, I'm eager (maybe too eager) to see some more young hitters pick up the slack. Especially when that young hitter happens to be a 6-5 switch hitter who claims to be 275 lbs on Bbref.
    1. DJL44's Avatar
      DJL44 -
      I would think Parmelee plays 1B fairly often. Positional flexibility is what will get him on a roster as a backup.
    1. DJL44's Avatar
      DJL44 -
      Only 104IP for Meyer last season. Will he be on an innings limit this season?
    1. Thrylos's Avatar
      Thrylos -
      Quote Originally Posted by Pitz View Post
      Unfortunate for me, I was hoping to maybe catch Meyer in Lehigh Valley next week. That doesn't seem too likely.
      I will be catching Darnell (Sat) and Diamond (Sun) there. Are you local to ironpig land?
    1. Pitz's Avatar
      Pitz -
      about 40 miles south. moved to the area last summer. was thinking about maybe trying to make friday night work, but may have to end up waiting till later in the season. wouldn't mind catching May, I still have high hopes for him.
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