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  • Twins Draft Preview: Tyler Beede

    A top five pick in the MLB draft is a blessing and a burden. Getting it right can mean the addition of a franchise-altering talent. Getting it wrong can be very, very costly.

    Will the Twins stake their future on a pitcher as erratic yet electric as Tyler Beede?

    Who is this guy?

    Beede has been one of the elite young arms in the nation for some time now.

    In 2011, he was drafted 21st overall by the Blue Jays, who went far over slot and offered $2.5 million to the 18-year-old righty from Massachusetts but were still spurned, as Beede would not budge from a colossal $3.5 million asking price. He was the only first-round pick not to sign that year.

    While this might seem like greed to some, I think the more accurate depiction is of a talented young man with a full ride to Vanderbilt, who would only let a completely outrageous offer woo him away from such an opportunity.

    After a rocky freshman year, Beede settled in as Vanderbilt's ace as a sophomore, going 14-1 with a 2.32 ERA while averaging more than a strikeout per inning. Though his W/L and ERA regressed this year as a junior, he improved his walk rate and continued to miss plenty of bats.

    ESPN.com's prospect guru Keith Law came away extremely impressed after watching Beede pitch against Stanford in March, concluding that "it's hard for me to imagine that he's not a top-five pick."

    Why the Twins will pick him

    It's not hard to see the allure. Beede has a prototypical pitcher build at 6'4" and 215. He lives on a powerful fastball that clocks in the mid-90s, and he complements it with a strong changeup and a sharp curve that he has sometimes struggled to harness.

    You can never have enough quality arms, and Beede would fit nicely into the organization's timeline, joining Kohl Stewart and J.O. Berrios as premium young pitchers who will be scheduled to arrive in two or three years.

    Why the Twins won't pick him

    A consensus mock draft list compiled this week on SB Nation averaged out the results of six different expert mocks and had Beede going to the Rays with the 20th overall pick. Even Law, who was clearly quite high on Beede earlier in the spring, has said more recently that he expects the righty to go in the second half of the first round, citing shaky command in the latter part of the college season.

    While he's got ample ability, the inconsistency in Beede's track record makes it difficult to justify him as a top five pick. His stuff is plenty good but he has too often been unable to control it, and although the Twins have a good record of helping pitchers iron out control issues, that's probably more risk than they're willing to take on when picking this high.
    Comments 9 Comments
    1. Seth Stohs's Avatar
      Seth Stohs -
      He had a bit of a rough start yesterday in the SEC tournament. In 6 innings, he gave up four runs (3 earned) on three hits, five walks and two hit batters. He struck out four against Mississippi. Vandy lost 7-2 and was eliminated from the conference tournament.
    1. gunnarthor's Avatar
      gunnarthor -
      Man, he's really going to slip. I'd bet he doesn't go in the top 15 at this point.
    1. mike wants wins's Avatar
      mike wants wins -
      Not coming to MN, would be my guess. He seemed more intriguing earlier this year (like Trea Turner).....
    1. Steve Lein's Avatar
      Steve Lein -
      I'm surprised you didn't mention the most interesting nugget of information about Beede I've seen, considering your own interests. His rapper name is "Young Beedah," haha!
    1. Nick Nelson's Avatar
      Nick Nelson -
      Quote Originally Posted by Steve Lein View Post
      I'm surprised you didn't mention the most interesting nugget of information about Beede I've seen, considering your own interests. His rapper name is "Young Beedah," haha!
      Move him up the board!!
    1. chuchadoro's Avatar
      chuchadoro -
      Quote Originally Posted by Nick Nelson View Post
      Move him up the board!!
      I think a Trevor May/Young Beedah duo would have a floor of DJ Jazzy Jeff and the Fresh Prince and a ceiling of Eric B and Rakim. You can't pass that up.
    1. jimv2's Avatar
      jimv2 -
      Quote Originally Posted by gunnarthor View Post
      Man, he's really going to slip. I'd bet he doesn't go in the top 15 at this point.
      Given his history, signability becomes a concern at that point--if not earlier.
    1. jimbo92107's Avatar
      jimbo92107 -
      Why would you take Beede over Nola, a guy with an effortless delivery and pinpoint control? Go with the guy that's ready to throw strikes and miss some bats!
    1. Paul Pleiss's Avatar
      Paul Pleiss -
      Quote Originally Posted by chuchadoro View Post
      I think a Trevor May/Young Beedah duo would have a floor of DJ Jazzy Jeff and the Fresh Prince and a ceiling of Eric B and Rakim. You can't pass that up.
      you win the internet for today.
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