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Very Well Then

The 2013 Twins Lineup Challenge

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Over at my blog VeryWellThen.Com I am hosting a contest -- a challenge -- for you to pick the predominant Twins lineup of 2013. By "predominant", I mean "what BaseballReference.Com will show at season end for the Twins."




Baseball Reference fills in the predominant lineup of the team -- generally, whoever plays the most at any position gets that slot on the BR page. The pitchers are classified as the starters based on some formula of games started and innings pitched, while the relief pitchers appear to be ranked on innings pitched alone. Check out what the BR page looked like for the 2012 Twins.

The "predominant" 25 man roster for 2012 Twins looked like this:

Hitters
PAs
C
Joe Mauer
641
1B
Justin Morneau
570
2B
Alexi Casilla
326
SS
Brian Dozier
340
3B
Trevor Plouffe
465
LF
Josh Willingham
615
CF
Denard Span
568
RF
Ben Revere
553
DH
Ryan Doumit
528
Reserves
IF
Jamey Carroll
537
1B
Chris Parmelee
210
RF
Darin Mastroianni
186
SS
Pedro Florimon
150
3B
Danny Valencia
132
Pitchers
G
GS
SV
IP
SP
Scott Diamond
27
27
0
173.0
SP
Francisco Liriano
22
17
0
100.0
SP
Nick Blackburn
19
19
0
98.2
SP
Cole De Vries
17
16
0
87.2
SP
Liam Hendriks
16
16
0
85.1
SP
Sam Deduno
15
15
0
79.0
CL
Glen Perkins
70
0
16
70.1
RP
Brian Duensing
55
11
0
109.0
RP
Alex Burnett
67
0
0
71.2
RP
Jared Burton
64
0
5
62.0
RP
Jeff Gray
49
0
0
52.0

So the challenge to you is to guess what the lineup page will look like for the 2013 at the season's end. To take the challenge -- go to VeryWellThen.Com and enter your guess in the comments section of this post.

You'll need to pick the following:

  • the 9 position slots (includes DH)
  • the top 5 reserve batters
  • the 6 starting slots
  • the 1 Closer slot
  • the top 4 additional relief pitchers.


That's a 25 man roster -- so 25 points available in this challenge. For the challenge, the order does not matter for the the 5 reserve batters or the relievers. For the starters, the order does not matter except as a tie breaker -- explained below. The Closer is its own slot (if you have Perkins as your closer and Burton gets the most saves, you do not get a point for Perkins even if Perkins makes the list of 4 relievers).


There's a prize, too. It costs you nothing to play. You might win a prize. Not a bad deal.

The prize for the winner: one t-shirt of your choice from the Diamond Centric collection. (I am unaffiliated with DiamondCentric. But their t-shirts make fine Twins-related swag.)

There are also a few rules.


1. Pick 25 roster slots, as set forth above. One point for each slot you get right, as determined by Baseball References 2013 Twins page. The person with the most points wins.


2. The first tiebreaker is the number of correctly-ranked starting pitchers for your entry. For example, for 2012 if you guessed the order of the six starting pitchers for the Twins would be Diamond, Blackburn, Liriano, Duensing, Hendricks and De Vries, I would have called you a lunatic. And you would have received 2 points in the tie-breaker for correctly having Diamond as the #1 starting pitcher and Hendricks as the #6 starting pitcher.


3. The second tiebreaker is the time-stamp of your entry.


4. You can also enter "Other", if you choose a player that is not in the Twins System at the time of your entry. If Oswaldo Arcia starts the season in the minors but gets the most PA's to be Right Field, you only get a point for the RF slot if you guessed Arcia. A minor league Twin is not an "Other". But if the Twins trade for JJ Hardy to be their shortstop two days after you made your entry and you put "Other" as your shortstop, you get a point. For entries made after such a hypothetical trade, you would only get a point if you had Hardy as your SS. See how it works?


5. You must make your entry in the comments section to the corresponding post on VeryWellThen.com. Entries made in the comments section of Twins Daily do not count, nor do entries made in tweets, written on bathroom walls, or whispered to a dog. While you're at my blog, I recommend that you follow me on Twitter (@Very_Well_Then). Throughout the season I'll try to make a few updates on the state of this contest. And hopefully I'll have some other blog entries to let you know about.


6. One entry per person. Don't use several different emails. Take a shot at this. Get on with your life.

7. Entries must be submitted before first pitch on opening day.

8. You have to do better than me to win. It's my challenge. My post counts as the entry with the earliest time-stamp. I already win the second tie-breaker.


9. Void if prohibited by law. (I thought I'd better say that.)

Go HERE to see my guess for the 25 man lineup and then take your own guess.

Updated 03-14-2013 at 12:15 AM by VeryWellThen

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