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Thrylos

Scouting report of newest Twins' member LHP Sean Gilmartin

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[I]Originally published at [URL="http://tenthinningstretch.blogspot.com/2013/12/scouting-report-of-newest-twins-memeber.html"]The Tenth Inning Stretch[/URL]
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The Minnesota Twins in an effort to reduce the logjam in the DH/OF position have traded [B]Ryan Doumit[/B] to the Atlanta Braves for 23 year old minor league LHP prospect [B]Sean Gilmartin[/B]. The 6'2", 200 lbs Gilmartin was the Braves' 1st round (28th overall) pick of the 2011 draft. Before he was drafted, he was named All American from Baseball America and before the 2012 season he was ranked as the Braves' 5th best prospect, and 4th best before the 2013 season.

Currently, he is ranked as the Braves' 10th best prospect for 2014 by Baseball America that also ranks his change up as the best in the Braves' system and suggest that he has 4th starter upside. This is good, otherwise Gilmartin sounds a lot likea prototypical Twins' lefty: High 80s-Low 90s average fastball with few strikeouts (6.3 K/9 in AAA in 128.7 IP, and 6.5 K/9 in AA in 119.3 IP), who needs impecable command and control to survive. His change up is a truly plus pitch and sits in the low 80s. He has a low 80s above average to plus slider that he uses almost exclusively against LHBs while he prefers an also above average slow (low 70s) 12-6 curveball against RHBs. His mechanics are good and his delivery pretty smooth.

Gilmartin needs to have exceptional command and control with his average fastball in order to keep his team in games. However, last season in AAA Gwinnett, that was not the case (and add some lackluster defense behind him and bad luck) and it showed. He finished the season with a 3-8 record, 5.74 ERA (4.61 FIP), 1.593 WHIP (.332 BABIP), 6.4 K/9 (15.8 K%) and 1.97 K/BB. A lot like a current Twins' LHP, but unlike [B]Scott Diamond[/B], Gilmartin has 3 above average to plus supplementary pitches and a full set of options. In addition he does not need to be on the 40 man roster, which opens a spot for [B]Mike Pelfrey[/B]. Some of his control issues were potentially due to minor shoulder injury issues (tendinitis), which if corrected could be a good sign for Gilmartin and the Twins going forward.

Gilmartin would have ranked [URL="http://tenthinningstretch.blogspot.com/2013/12/2014-off-season-minnesota-twins-top-40_5.html"]some [/URL]place [URL="http://tenthinningstretch.blogspot.com/2013/12/2014-off-season-minnesota-twins-top-40_4.html"]in the 20s[/URL] in my [URL="http://tenthinningstretch.blogspot.com/2013/12/2014-offseason-minnesota-twins-top-40.html"]Minnesota Twins top 40 prospect list[/URL]

Effect on other Twins' players?

With the addition of[B] Kris Johnson[/B] and [B]Sean Gilmartin[/B] and the existence of [B]Logan Darnell [/B]on the 40 man roster and [B]Pat Dean [/B]on the AAA roster, [B]Andrew Albers [/B]falls even lower in the Twins' depth chart and might be moved. [B]Scott Diamond [/B]is out of options and Johnson and now Gilmartin might offer a better alternative for depth in AAA, so he might moved as well. [B]Caleb Thielbar[/B] who has options might lose his bullpen role to the optionless Diamond and start the season in AAA.

The recently signed [B]Jason Kubel[/B] has one less hurdle to clear to win a spot on the major league roster and be paid (with incentives) as much as Doumit was going to make.

[CENTER] [URL="http://farm4.staticflickr.com/3772/11440386424_4741f5a577_z.jpg"][IMG]http://farm4.staticflickr.com/3772/11440386424_4741f5a577_z.jpg[/IMG][/URL]
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Comments

  1. Jim H's Avatar
    Albers won't be moved, but his best chance to make the Twins roster is as a long reliever. Which makes some sense. There might not be any left handed starters, Swarzak might get more meaningful innings, Pressey could start the year in AAA, so there might be an opening for a left handed long reliever who could swing to starter in an emergency. A lot depends on how many relievers the Twins decide to carry in 2014, and whether any get traded this winter.
  2. Dman's Avatar
    Nice article. I think the Twins did ok with this trade.
  3. Shane Wahl's Avatar
    The shakedown as I would do it:

    Duensing might bring Doumitesque value back, so I would look to trade him. Logan Darnell could be a perfect add-in to such a trade.

    The Twins, for some reason, through money at Pelfrey. He is not good. It's an abomination. Anyway, the options really seem to hinge around Gibson, Diamond, Worley, and Deduno for the fifth starter and hopefully the long relief role (move Swarzak to middle relief, please). I would bet that Gibson starts in AAA, Diamond is the fifth starter, and Worley begins in long relief, with Deduno placed on the DL somehow. I think all four are likely better than Pelfrey in 2014, but oh well. If the Twins can try to trade from the bullpen, Diamond or Worley might find MR spots (trade Duensing, Fien, and Burton).

    The rotation could be:

    Nolasco
    Correia
    Hughes
    Pelfrey
    Gibson

    and the bullpen:

    Diamond
    Worley
    Swarzak
    Thielbar
    Tonkin
    Fien/Burton (whichever one doesn't get traded)
    Perkins
  4. B Richard's Avatar
    Thanks for this.

    What sets him apart (or at least gives me more hope for him) in my mind is his age. The kid is 23. Let's say he recovers from the injury responsible for his poor performance last year-- to me, they could have a very effective back end of the rotation option. Unfortunately we have several of those. Still, nice to get ANY kind of return on a trade where the Braves ate the contract of maybe the worst pitch framer in MLB history
  5. Thrylos's Avatar
    [QUOTE=Shane Wahl;bt9912]The shakedown as I would do it:

    Duensing might bring Doumitesque value back, so I would look to trade him. Logan Darnell could be a perfect add-in to such a trade.

    The Twins, for some reason, through money at Pelfrey. He is not good. It's an abomination. Anyway, the options really seem to hinge around Gibson, Diamond, Worley, and Deduno for the fifth starter and hopefully the long relief role (move Swarzak to middle relief, please). I would bet that Gibson starts in AAA, Diamond is the fifth starter, and Worley begins in long relief, with Deduno placed on the DL somehow. I think all four are likely better than Pelfrey in 2014, but oh well. If the Twins can try to trade from the bullpen, Diamond or Worley might find MR spots (trade Duensing, Fien, and Burton).

    The rotation could be:

    Nolasco
    Correia
    Hughes
    Pelfrey
    Gibson

    and the bullpen:

    Diamond
    Worley
    Swarzak
    Thielbar
    Tonkin
    Fien/Burton (whichever one doesn't get traded)
    Perkins[/QUOTE]


    Lots of things can happen, but I will keep Duensing over Thielbar (and Diamond - who cannot get lefties out) every day (and night). If they can trade Thielbar and his .175 BABIP for something, it would be wonderful.
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