03-11-2012, 03:38 PM #1
Vegas Speaks: Twins Over/Under is 73 wins
You can find the link here.
Vegas is setting the over/under for Twins wins at 73 this year, which is the least number of any AL Central team. I gotta say, this seems really low to me, though I suppose one could argue that if they sell at the trade deadline, they could suffer an August and September similar to last season. Still, I think the over is a lot more likely.
03-11-2012, 04:02 PM #2
I guess it's about what I would have expected when you consider that oddsmakers don't base these things on what they necessarily believe will happen, but what they believe is likely to result in half of the bets being placed on both sides. You don't have to read many national media experts to figure out that virtually nobody expects the Twins to have even a decent year. That being the case, most people across the country inclined to bet on this kind of thing are also going to discount the Twins chances.
I'll be surprised and very disappointed if the Twins don't win well above 73 games.
03-11-2012, 04:03 PM #3
When talking to people all offseason and especially since spring training, I've put the over/under at 79. So I would take the over, thought the Twins may be one of the more difficult teams to predict wins for in 2012 because they have so many variables.
03-11-2012, 04:33 PM #4
Vegas has this figured out
I agree with Cricket about being dissapointed with 73 wins, but Vegas is not just throwing numbers up like fans do. Our pitching is on the verge of being shambolic and we are slides and falls away from losing 1/3 of our position players. Most fans don't cringe when a fielder runs or slides hard. We do with m+m+spanWikipedia is for suckers
03-11-2012, 05:09 PM #5
2011: 85 (63) -20
2010: 82 (94) +12
2009: 83.5 (87) +3.5
2008: 73.5 (88) +14.5
Other than 2009 they were way way off-----
Blogging Twins since 2007 at The Tenth Inning Stretch
03-11-2012, 06:50 PM #6
03-11-2012, 08:43 PM #7
So we're betting the house then? You're saying this is my big chance? That money in my kids' college 529 plan is just SITTING there, getting NOTHING....
03-11-2012, 09:08 PM #8
03-11-2012, 09:10 PM #9
03-13-2012, 09:40 AM #10
Meh. I put $20 down on the Twins to win it all in 2010 and they had 10:1 odds. That was before the season started. I don't think Vegas gave 50:1 odds for any team. Then again, I didn't look at the odds for any other team.
I say bet the college fund on the over under. It's the gambling version of drafting a college "pitch to contact" pitcher. Nothing flashy, but it will probably work for a while.
03-13-2012, 11:21 AM #11