01-28-2013, 06:24 PM #41
The Twins do have 4 potential 25-30 hr bats in the lineup this year. Mauer batting in front of all of them and Doumit somewhere in there too. As long as either Mastroianni or Hicks and one of the MI can get on base at a reasonable clip the offense should score enough. the defense will likely let a few more hits in RF but thats about it. Maybe Plouffe improves enough to offset that some. I believe we will have at lease 3 decent starters out of the bunch now if 2 more are atleast .500 record then we can compete. the bullpen will be likely average or slightly above. IMO there are more ifs than certainty on paper but that doesn't mean the talent isn't there to compete this year.
01-28-2013, 06:27 PM #42
01-28-2013, 06:39 PM #43
Now this would be very much a pessimists view if I thought all this would happen but some of it probably will. Actually, going back to the health point, no one in the lineup dealt with an injury that kept them out for long periods, will that luck hold?
01-28-2013, 06:43 PM #44
CF depends entirely on who gets the call out of the gate. Mussolini may not produce if called upon every day, and Hicks and Benson would most likely take some serious lumps in their first go-round on the big league squad.
Plouffe would be my other biggest question mark. Was his crazy 40 game stretch where he mashed a real indicator, or lightning in a bottle? He'll get a chance to prove himself this year, but even with his hot quarter season, he still struggled to get his average into the .260 range before tapering off. Maybe it was the injury that dragged him back down, but bear in mind that he only hit in the .235 range the year before as well.
And the MI, as you have pointed out, is a mess. When the thought "Boy, they're going to miss Casilla's production" crossed my mind, I took it as a terrible sign. Some combination of bad players that combined for about 500 ABs last year is instead going to get 1000-1200 PAs in the middle infield. It may be "maintaining" in that they'll have equally awful rate stats, but since WAR is an accrued stat, technically it could make the team worse. (In the WAR sense.)
TL;DR I have some doubts.
01-28-2013, 06:54 PM #45Originally Posted by FrodaddyG
Parmelee is an unknown quantity, to be sure, but at the very least he's a guy whose asset is his bat. He fits in RF. And while I admit I'm taking a bit of a leap of faith on Hicks, the bar was not set high by last year's .267/.325/.357 line in CF.
Losing Span and Revere hurts the defense more than anything. I don't see them being huge losses for the offense given what the Twins have in terms of replacements.
01-28-2013, 06:58 PM #46
Originally Posted by FrodaddyG
01-28-2013, 07:06 PM #47
Offensively... I worry about the top of the order. Who will bat in front of Mauer, Willingham and Morneau. That's the sore spot... I think Morneau will rebound and I think Plouffe can bang out 30 dingers.
There is some offense here.
Florimon can hit .220 at the bottom of the order. He just has to settle in. I saw the flashes on defense... He can be special and the point made earlier that Florimon is starting 2013 over better potential hitters tells me that the Twins think so as well.
01-28-2013, 07:15 PM #48
Glass 3/4 full of Koolaid kind of guy
Ploufe stays healthy and streaky
Dozier plays like he did in 2011 with the Rock Cats
Paramalee hits for a .750 OPS
Spilled the 1/4 of a glass on whater position Dozier doesn't play.
I did not even have to count on Hicks or Benson for 3 upgrades from last year
Last June was a fluke
Last year wasn't a fluke
Parmalee is a AAAA guy
Benson and Hicks are busts
01-28-2013, 07:21 PM #49
I'm also not arguing that Parmelee isn't the superior hitter to Revere. (I think my Revere stance has been well established over the years.) I've held out hope for Parmelee since he was drafted if for no other reason than it may inspire the FO to roll with more raw power hitters in the draft if he succeeds. I hope he evolves into the 800+ OPS masher he has the tools to become, but as a three true outcomes guy, if the K portion of the three remains skewed high it could marginalize his one plus asset. (Although as a 1B, his glove is far less of a liability.) However, I think by midseason he's the everyday 1B guy, (I think Morneau gets dealt) most likely opening up RF for one of either the Hicks/Benson leftover or possibly a flourishing-in-AAA Arcia, bringing about a similar CF-like question mark there.
01-28-2013, 07:24 PM #50-----
Blogging Twins since 2007 at The Tenth Inning Stretch
01-28-2013, 07:31 PM #51
01-28-2013, 07:37 PM #52
01-28-2013, 07:37 PM #53
01-28-2013, 07:38 PM #54
01-28-2013, 07:47 PM #55
I seem to remember quite a lot of games where the Twins were basically KO'd by the 5th inning, and then slightly reduce the deficit making the final score not quite so lop-sided. My point is that a solid improvement in the rotation could occur but still lose as many games--though by one run instead of several. This would qualify as improving the rotation, the team, and yes to a degree fan entertainment ("...hey they're down only one, who knows?") but not materially affect the season's W-L record. That is my projection for 2013.
01-28-2013, 07:48 PM #56
If I had to do it without looking it up, I'd say something like a .670 OPS.
'87 also was, if I recall correctly, one of (if not the worst) offensive seasons of his career."Maybe you could go grab a bat and ball… and learn something. Maybe you will get it."
- Strib commenter educating the elitists on the value of RBI's
01-28-2013, 07:51 PM #57
01-28-2013, 07:51 PM #58
01-28-2013, 07:53 PM #59
01-28-2013, 08:20 PM #60
The Twins seem to be giving the job to Florimon based soley on his defensive ability, so it's clear they see an improvement even if you don't.
Look, when you state that it's an "awfully big assumption" for a player to improve at a position he's ostensible still learning,