Since you seem to somehow know in advance the level he will perform at, would you care to share his 2014 batting slash with the Community- so to take away the doubt, mystery and angst the rest of us have in not knowing how- and why- Terry Ryan so miraculously dodged this bullet?
Looking at the qualified First Basemen at the top of the bottom half in WAR this year (ie, "mediocre"):
Prince Fielder WAR 2.2 .279/.362/.457 (25HR) Salary: 9/$214M
Anthony Rizzo WAR 1.6 .233/.323/.419 (23HR) Salary: 9/$70M
Nick Swisher WAR 2.4 .246/.341/.423 (22HR) Salary: 5/$80M
Justin Morneau WAR 0.8 .259/.323/.411 (17HR) Salary: 6/$80M
Here's what his Cuban native contemporary did in 2013, his WAR number (2.3) is not comparable because he plays OF:
Yoenis Cespedes .240/.294/.442 (26 HR) Salary 4+2/$36+$32?=$68M?
That $68M is a reasonable, low-ball estimate forecasting for Cespedes' last 2 yet-unsigned arb years, in 2016 and 2017 @$16M/yr- and curiously, it's the same as Abreu's contract number. Their respective hitting numbers in Cuba were similar, with Abreu besting Cespedes more often than not.
I think most Sox fans will be thrilled if and when Abreu produces numbers superior to those listed above- in the very-hitter-friendly launching pad that is US Cellular Field. Many Twins fans would have been similarly thrilled.
And Oh Yeah, about that "long swing"? We've still got a sainted guy who still hangs around the ballpark.....and he literally speaks Abreu's language. Tony-O could have fixed that hitch....muy rapido!
The point isn't his wage per say, rather he is not going to be a great player. How the agent did the contract is the proof. It is not the he is overpaid aspect.
But you're absolutely right that we know essentially nothing about this guy. If he's a star, then 25+ teams, including the Twins, blew it. If he's a plodding DH who is mediocre, than the White Sox are tied to another long-term deal, which has been a weakness for them. And Cuban players haven't been a big strength either, I don't think. I can't remember any big breakthroughs there.
It sure would have made the offseason more interesting had the a Twins got him, though. I'd like to know why they weren't interested.
Either way, Alexei Rameriz has been a steal for Chicago. His orignial deal was 4 years for $4.75 million. It was a different time, but he was a known commodity, that was just the going rate for most Cuban bats. His new deal pays him about $30 million for four years. What a bargain for a plus defensvie and plus offensive shortstop.
Dayan Viciedo hasn't done a ton yet, but he did hit 24 HR as a 23-year old. The White Sox may not be the Dodgers, but they seem to have a better feel for this Cuban game than the Twins do. In my opinion, if the Twins don't know how to proceed with Cuban free agents, just go after the guys that the other succesful Cuban chasers are going after. It's not a sin to acknowledge another team may know more than you in a particular area.
Opening Day rosters feature 241 players born outside the U.S. | MLB.com: News
Abreu went hitless and looked overmatched against Gerrit Cole and Tanaka. He had 300 at bats in front of scouts. He isn't an 'obscure' prospect like Puig was. Scouts have seen him. They've seen him a lot. Scouts can be wrong of course. But he was seen often by all 30 MLB teams. Astros were the only other formal bid I had heard of. $55M. What did the Red Sox bid?
And I would say the Red Sox are actually not that successful when it comes to international scouting success.
Xander Bogaerts could help them (Amateur Free Agent). Matsuaka's 6 years at $103M (posting fee + salarly) for 1 good season and 1 above average season with 4 horrible seasons, to me, has to be considered a big black eye.
Tazawa and Doubront are the only other international signees on the Red Sox roster. Jose Iglesias would have been a 3rd. It's one of the least international rostered teams in MLB.
If I'm not mistaken, you'd have to go back to 2003 when they signed Hanley Ramirez to find a home run on an international signing by the Red Sox.
I must say I'm not very interested in him because we don't have a big hole(Canyon) at 1B
I truly care for pitching and Jacoby Ellsbury.
Wow, Cuba was fourth? I would not have guessed that in a million years*
*actually, given a million years, I may have got that correct.....
They did sign Anibal Sanchez in 2001...another good signing.
I'm still unsure if the posting counts or not towards the luxury tax. I wouldn't be surprised if it was prorated but I don't know.
List of current Major League Baseball players by nationality - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Ken Rosenthal stated this concerning the bidding:
"Sources: Bidding for Abreu was close and furious. Four clubs bid between $63 and $66M. #WhiteSox’s winning bid was $68M."