I think this reads like someone who felt this is a wasted effort. It's a great write up, but you could just feel that his nagging caveat about IF they spend was present the whole time. Hard to write a serious offseason plan when you just think its all for nought.
Good plan though, if we got Kazmir and Hughes, I'd be quite happy. My bar is that low.
I like it!
The twins need to sign Tanaka and Kazmir. That would help a lot. They also need to sign AJ. I would also check in to see if they could get Jurickson Profar without giving up one of the big three. i doubt it tho. That is pry a convo for next offseason anyway. I would also sign tanaka to as long a contract as I could, which would drive up hs trade value. Especially if he is as good as everyone says he is
I agree with Mackey but I think he's going to be disappointed when he sees the prices for these guys. He's estimating about $10-12 million per year for the top guys. I think it's going to be closer to $15-17 million per. There's extra revenue out there, don't think the agents and players association isn't going to be putting the screws to the owners to share the wealth. They'll cry collusion if player salaries don't go up.
Mackey's suggested retail prices would almost indicate a reduction in pay considering last year's equivilant pitchers, Sanchez, Dempster, Jackson, Haren, Kuroda and Peavy all topped $12 million per season. Even Scott Boras' martyred Kyle Lohse* with is unfortunate QO tag ended up getting $11 million per once all was said and done.
*Lohse sympathy performed with joyful sarcasm
I found the money issue interesting as well. Not just in the projected salaries but in Mackey's comments about what the Twins' payroll may be ... especially this exchange in the comments:
Jesse Haraldson · Minneapolis, Minnesota
Phil, does this analysis includes the extra $25 million the Twins will get from MLB due to increased national MLB TV contracts?
Phil Mackey · Top Commenter · Reusse and Mackey Show at Hubbard Broadcasting
Every team gets that. For the Twins consider it a bandaid for the drop in attendance.
So, now we are talking about merely pocketing the $20- $30m that went unspent this year that helped LEAD to the drop in attendance. PLUS we are saying that the extra $25m from TV (or $12.5m if you want to use 50%) also doesn't play a role.
I'm getting a sick feeling in my stomach. (Not that I find any of this unexpected but it pretty much proves to me that until I see Terry Ryan spend the $$$, I'm not going to get my hopes up too high).
Hughes is very mediocre. Maybe slightly better than Pelfrey, but guys like that just aren't going to make a difference.
Either sign someone with upside for 1 year, with the possibility of flipping him at the deadline, or sign a legitimately good pitcher (preferably both). Both of those kind of moves can improve the club's chances in 2015 or 2016.
1st Tanaka is not signing here, even if they make the highest bid he has the option to choose between the 3 highest bids. It's either going to be a contender or someone on the west coast.
Can we please get off Phil Hughes, even when he has been healthy he hasn't been good. He is a extreme fly ball pitcher & there are plenty of band boxes in the AL central. Also both Johnson & Hughes have said they want 1 year deals to establish their value.
The Twins' need for starting pitching will be for at least three years--it makes no sense to sign a guy for one-year so he can "re-build his reputation". Especially if said price is $10MM for one season.
Maybe if the Twins get one of the top three bids and then Terry Ryan shows up to a meeting speaking Japanese . . . .
That Mackey's piece on how to fix the Twins is now referred to as an annual article by Seth is a bit depressing.
I am getting tired of seeing the below, and fans buying into it:
What team isn't wary of a bad contracts? Bad contracts are the risk of FA, just like missing on a draft pick is the risk of missing in scouting & development, or missing on trades like the Revere trade.Quote:
The Twins are wary of locking into bad contracts
The only difference is a miss draft pick/trade doesn't hurt the ownership's pockets like a bad a contract.
This current team is not good, and they have a system that lacks pitching due to bad drafting/injuries/bad luck.
So...unless you want to stink, you have to take the risk of bad contracts.
If you don't, you are a bad team unless your prospects become good.