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The better of the two projections currently at Fangraphs has Hicks hitting .249/.329/.404 this season; the other projects .217/.298/.340. Aside from the possibility of a flukey hot start, we probably...

Yep, and think about what it means when the books are trying to set a line that will attract betting on each side, and still come up with a number as low as 64.5 wins. All but three teams fall in the...

Pelfrey was a 1st round pick... in 2005. But his career numbers aren't much different than Correia's marks.

Pelfrey career: 50-54, 4.36 ERA (92 ERA+), 4.50 xFIP, 5.08 K/9, 3.19 BB/9 (4.74 ERA,...

Storen came back to throw 4.1 innings in July (4.15 ERA, 4.2 K/9), 10.2 innings in August (3.38 ERA, 6.8 K/9), and 15.1 innings in Sept/October (1.17 ERA, 8.2 K/9). He had a light workload that got...

One important thing to keep in mind: Worley is recovering from surgery to remove a "loose body" and a bone spur from his elbow. Pitchers who have had similar offseason surgeries typically need 2-3...

For what it's worth, Wikipedia indicates that Tony La Russa left Oakland because the Haas family sold the club.

It is some comfort that we can say, "The Twins were the worst team in the league largely because the original pitching rotation was a total wash-out." And Terry Ryan will have an opportunity to fill...

The O's success this year has depended a lot on luck (which Nick acknowledged in his post), but Nick is right that the Twins would stand a puncher's chance next year if the pitching improves to a...

Do the Twins really figure to have much money to spend this winter? I had the opposite impression, given that the club already owes $68M to 9 players (including 2, Blackburn and Nishioka, who may not...

Can you give some examples of "low-hit high-walk" pitchers (let's say a BB/9 above 4.0, but the closer to a 7.0 BB/9 the better) who sustained above-average success by that approach? And would any...

The problem is his k rate is only 5.9 per nine innings.[/QUOTE]

That K/9 might be just fine if his walk rate were less than half his 7.0 BB/9. But he does have a 7.0 BB/9(!), and his minor league...

Well, the 2003 team was 44-49 at the All-Star break, but had been 43-37 on June 29. So they had been having a fine season, until they just hit a horrific slide in the two weeks going into the break...

Let's say the Twins win 70% of the rest of their games against Central teams; that would give them a 30-13 mark in those remaining games, which would put them at 66-62. In that case, they would have...

I'm still skeptical about Diamond, because of his low K/9 and my doubts that he can sustain the low walk rate he's posted so far. Right now, his performance has been absolutely the best case scenario...

I didn't realize that in-season WAR figures had been declared meaningless. Even full-season UZR scores can fluctuate a lot from year to year, which makes it a suspect gauge of a player's real...

OK, so Mauer is no longer a full-time Catcher. He's a half-time Catcher, who plays the rest of his games at 1B/DH. Which means that instead of him playing 110-120 games behind the plate, plus a...

He was also only worth 1.4 fWAR coming into today's game. He doesn't deserve to bump Adrian Beltre or Miguel Cabrera. Even if Ron Washington had wanted to make a point of adding another 3B reserve,...

I don't think that a high BABIP is necessarily bad luck for the pitcher or a reflection of bad defense. Sometimes, it just means that hitters are tattooing the ball.

I think any pitcher good...

Btw, Mauer's wOBA and wRC+ currently are 3rd best among AL catchers. If you were choosing an All-Star team today, Wieters and Napoli would be your top 2 catchers. But if you had room to take a third...

Most catchers, even the great ones like Bench, tend to suffer a steep decline by age 32. As I recall, Posada and Fisk are rare exceptions; and Posada didn't become a regular starter until his late...

I just noticed that 4/5 of the regular rotation to this point (excluding Diamond) has a K/9 below 5. Liriano is the only one missing bats; unfortunately, he also can't find the plate, gives up too...

Fortunately, Terry Ryan should have plenty of budget to fill at least two rotation spots with quality pitchers next season.

Unfortunately, the lineup is also in dire need of upgrades at 5 spots;...

I don't think Span is untouchable, although his contract status makes him a nice asset to keep around. But, if Terry Ryan can swap him for a good prospect, that's fine. However, I don't understand...

I bet Don Cooper wouldn't mind a chance to help Liriano work out his problems.

I'll take the Royals here because their prospects intrigue me more than anything going on with the Twins right now.