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Thread: Fun With Numbers "A Positive Twist"

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    Fun With Numbers "A Positive Twist"

    Could the Twins be in 3rd place by the end of the week? Possibly. The Twins are currently only 3 games behind the Indians who are in a complete tailspin right now with the upcoming series between the two teams we might see some shifting in the middle of the AL Central. Personally, I think a finish in 3rd place in the division is quite a feat for this team if you remember how they started.

    On May 27th the Twins were 15-32 (17 games under .500). Today August 6th, they are 47-61 (14 games under .500). Over their last 61 games or 56% of the games they have played this season Twins are playing .524 baseball (32-29). So really how bad is this season's team? The record of 47-61 is terrible, but the first 2 months of the season were historically bad. If they were playing at the their current 61 game clip over the entire 108 games this season this team's record would be 57-51, good enough for 2.5 games out of first place.

    Where could the Twins end the season at? Using their currect full season record extrapolated 162 games the Twins projected record would be 71-91. But this post is meant to put a positive twist on things, so I'll do just that. Making the assumption of a continued .524 winning percentage the rest of the way the Twins projected record will be 75-87. If the Twins finish this season just 12 games under .500 I would say that is where most knowledgable fans and experts would put them to start the season and quite a ways away from the 100 loss season many were suggesting in Mid-May. What are your thoughts on the season if this is actually how it ends?

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    Senior Member Big-Leaguer J-Dog Dungan's Avatar
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    Everything relies on their pitching. If the starters continue to do well, they could beat the 75-87 mark. If not, then who knows?

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    More fun: The Twins are currently 4th in all of MLB (2nd in the AL) in stolen bases, and have struck out less than everyone but the Royals. Also, Revere has the second longest active hitting streak in the league.

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    Speediest Moderator All-Star snepp's Avatar
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    Hammer is just three home runs (28) behind the ML leader Dunn (31).
    "Maybe you could go grab a bat and ballÖ and learn something. Maybe you will get it."
    - Strib commenter educating the elitists on the value of RBI's

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    The King In The North All-Star Nick Nelson's Avatar
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    Revere is less than 10 PA away from qualifying for the batting title. His average would rank third in the AL behind Trout and Cabrera.

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    The "streaking Twins" idea is a bit of a mirage.

    Twins in July: 12-14 Winning percentage: .461

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    Twins have in recent times started out stinky and finished even more feebly:

    Twins in Sep 2010: 2-11 winning percentage- .153 (last 13 games counting the playoffs)
    Twins in Ap/May '11: 17-36 winning percentage- .320
    Twins in Au/Sep '11: 13-41 winning percentage- .240
    Twins in Ap/May '12: 18-32 winning percentage- .360
    Twins in Au/Sep '12: ??????

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    The King In The North All-Star Nick Nelson's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jokin View Post
    The "streaking Twins" idea is a bit of a mirage.

    Twins in July: 12-14 Winning percentage: .461
    You really seem to be missing the point of this thread. If you're incapable of saying anything positive, probably best to stay away from this one.

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    Speediest Moderator All-Star snepp's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jokin View Post
    blah
    Quote Originally Posted by jokin View Post
    blah
    "Maybe you could go grab a bat and ballÖ and learn something. Maybe you will get it."
    - Strib commenter educating the elitists on the value of RBI's

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    Senior Member All-Star SpiritofVodkaDave's Avatar
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    The Twins have the 2nd most come from behind wins after the 3rd inning in all of baseball.

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    Senior Member Big-Leaguer mikeee's Avatar
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    The twin's next opponent has a 9 game losing streak in tact.

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    Pixel Monkey MVP Brock Beauchamp's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SpiritofVodkaDave View Post
    The Twins have the 2nd most come from behind wins after the 3rd inning in all of baseball.
    On Tuesdays with a tail wind.

    Sorry, that "third inning" caveat just cracks me up.

    On the other hand, it's a testament to just how much their starting pitching has crippled their win total this season.

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    Senior Member All-Star SpiritofVodkaDave's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Loosey View Post
    Could the Twins be in 3rd place by the end of the week? Possibly. The Twins are currently only 3 games behind the Indians who are in a complete tailspin right now with the upcoming series between the two teams we might see some shifting in the middle of the AL Central. Personally, I think a finish in 3rd place in the division is quite a feat for this team if you remember how they started.

    On May 27th the Twins were 15-32 (17 games under .500). Today August 6th, they are 47-61 (14 games under .500). Over their last 61 games or 56% of the games they have played this season Twins are playing .524 baseball (32-29). So really how bad is this season's team? The record of 47-61 is terrible, but the first 2 months of the season were historically bad. If they were playing at the their current 61 game clip over the entire 108 games this season this team's record would be 57-51, good enough for 2.5 games out of first place.

    Where could the Twins end the season at? Using their currect full season record extrapolated 162 games the Twins projected record would be 71-91. But this post is meant to put a positive twist on things, so I'll do just that. Making the assumption of a continued .524 winning percentage the rest of the way the Twins projected record will be 75-87. If the Twins finish this season just 12 games under .500 I would say that is where most knowledgable fans and experts would put them to start the season and quite a ways away from the 100 loss season many were suggesting in Mid-May. What are your thoughts on the season if this is actually how it ends?
    +50000

    I have been trying to say this for weeks. 75 wins after this horrendous start would be a nice victory. Gives me hope for next season and beyond.

    This team looks like a .500 team currently and has some money coming off the books this off-season along with some intriguing trade chips and prospects knocking on the door.

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    Senior Member Big-Leaguer mikeee's Avatar
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    Morneau hit .315 in the month of July. He's .421 in the 5 games he's been in this month.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Nick Nelson View Post
    Revere is less than 10 PA away from qualifying for the batting title. His average would rank third in the AL behind Trout and Cabrera.
    He is also second in the league in SB behind Mike Trout.

  16. #16
    The calling up of Nishioka should lead to all kinds of fun jokes with Asian stereotypes. And we all win when that happens.

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    Senior Member All-Star Thrylos's Avatar
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    - Don't look, but the Twins' have a team OPS+ of 101 and each regulars in every position (except the middle infield) has individual OPS+ of >103
    - Drew Butera has been well above the Mendoza line (.218) and flirting with a career best .600 OPS
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    Senior Member Big-Leaguer J-Dog Dungan's Avatar
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    Despite his recent slump, Willingham is 3rd in the majors with 81 RBI's.

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    Twins are undefeated and score 10+ runs per game with Nishi in the lineup! Schedule that World Series parade now!

  20. #20
    Super Moderator MVP USAFChief's Avatar
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    I have said for a couple months now this team is not that far from contention in 2013. Fix the starting pitching--and there is money to spend this winter if the Pohlads choose to--and it's not out of the realm of possibility to dream of the postseason a year from now. That's why I was against trading Liriano, and have been against dumping guys like Morneau and Willingham.

    Its also looking more and more like Diamond isn't a mirage. Someone made the comparison in today's game thread and I think it's a good one...looking like a poor man's Mark Buehrle.

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