04-17-2013, 04:16 PM #1
Bo knows 50 HR's?
I was just watching a daily program on MLB TV featuring Brian Kenney and Hal Reynolds which is advertised as old school v. new school in baseball thought.
This post is not about this program, but they had brought up Bo Jackson, and it sparked a thought I have a had a handful of times in the last decade...
What would Bo Jackson have accomplished on the baseball field if he did not destroy his hip?
Using his age 28 through 37 seasons (1991-1999) and factoring in that most of those years were prime power number years in the nucleus of the PED era - My thought is that he would have had three 40+ HR seasons.
I am curious to know what the rest you think.
04-17-2013, 05:04 PM #2
Bo is a very interesting case. He was a .250/.309/.474 hitter, and that wasn't really adversely affected by his injury. His per-162 numbers were 47 walks and 196 strikeouts, and that's before striking out 200 times in a season was considered "okay". He's got a ton of helium as the greatest athlete ever because he hit amazing bombs and flashed tools beyond anything anyone had every seen in speed and power and arm. The problem was that his eye simply wasn't that great at the plate. His dWAR never graded well, which could be an issue with the statistic or it could be showing us that perhaps our visions of his stellar defense were skewed somewhat. He never had better than a 3.5 bWAR in any season, and while he only eclipsed 500 PA once in his career, a guy like Chipper Jones had three seasons in 2005, 2006, and 2008 where he eclipsed 3.6 WAR every season, despite only having 500 PA in one of those seasons (all of which were in his 30s).
Based on all of that, I don't know that Bo would have given a team more than a mediocre average with power and speed, even in his best years (remember that he was able to still play his age 27 season before injury, so it's not as if he never had a chance to hit prime seasons). I would have imagined a .250ish/.320ish/.500ish guy. Valuable because of his arm in the outfield and his speed as well, but I don't know that he would have been the superstar in the modern era that he was before.Staff Writer for Tomahawktake.com, come check it out!
04-17-2013, 05:32 PM #3
Geez, I can't believe it has been 20 years, and forgive me if I recollect somethings misconstrued, but MLB HR numbers seemed to take a healthy bounce forward post 1993.
My guess is Bo would have been included in the more than handful of players at that time and place in MLB history to hit 40 HR's in a season or two or three.
04-17-2013, 06:38 PM #4Staff Writer for Tomahawktake.com, come check it out!
04-17-2013, 06:57 PM #5
On another note - you have got to like what you are seeing from your team down in GA. The pitching has been great and a huge portion of the offense has been invisible. Once they get their offense together, they should be looked at as one of the best teams in baseball, easily if they are not already.
Also, do you think Gattis can be a full time catcher and replace McCann full time after 2013?
04-17-2013, 09:29 PM #6
- Liked 137 Times in 83 Posts
If Bo had been healthy enough to play 150 games from age 28-33 I think he would have had a couple 35-45 HR seasons. he had big power although his athleticism overrated his actual baseball value. He was an amazing athlete though.
04-17-2013, 09:30 PM #7Staff Writer for Tomahawktake.com, come check it out!