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Thread: Article: Minnesota Twins Top 50 Prospects: 6-10

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    Owner MVP Seth Stohs's Avatar
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    Article: Minnesota Twins Top 50 Prospects: 6-10


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    Good stuff Seth.

    I think your list (50 thru 6) is hard to argue with. I love the selection of Adam Brett Walker as the Topps Midwest League "Player of the Year". Although Buxton surely deserved Top Prospect of the Year in the MWL - It was my opinion that Walker deserved the MVP award given by the league itself. He played nearly twice as many games (129 to 68) as Buxton in the MWL league and helped Cedar Rapids to a better second half record than their first half record. He also helped CR to the best record in all of Minor League baseball. He just turned 22 and has a bright future ahead of him.

    I also like the fact that so many of my Cedar Rapids kids are represented on your list. Which of the Cedar Rapids players from throughout the year do you think will start together in Fort Myers next spring? Which of them also have a legitimate chance to move up to AA sometime next year?

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    Adam Brett Walker wins Topps/MWL Player of the Year | Cedar Rapids Kernels News
    Adam Brett Walker - Topps Midwest League Player of the Year

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    Lightfoot - I 100% agree that Walker should have been named the League's MVP rather than Buxton for the reasons you mentioned. Buxton's the best prospect, but the Kernels were actually better in the 2nd half, and Walker led the league in HR and RBI and was the Most Valuable Player on the best team in the league.

    As for the guys who played in CR moving from FM to NB next year, that's always a possibility. It's normal for prospects to spend the full season in the Midwest League. It's common for guys who have good/big first halves in Ft. Myers to move up to New Britain after the All Star break. That said, I think guys like Harrison, Goodrum, Kepler, Berrios are likely to be one year at a time types.

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    AdamBrettWalkerKernelsHighlights
    youtube
    The first short clip is an advertisement for the Kernels (be patient) and then there are 29 short highlight clips (15 - 30 seconds each) of Adam Brett Walker at Cedar Rapids home games only. It played on my laptop, but didn't play on my ipad for some reason. I think this series of clips would give everyone a real idea of what Walker brings to the organization in terms of potential.

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    Senior Member Triple-A goulik's Avatar
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    What I love about these 5 names is their ages. Only Walker is over 20 and the 5 together average under 20.

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    I would put the pitchers higher than Polanco or Kepler.
    If I could only protect seven players for a trade, I would give up Polanco or Kepler before Berrios or Thorpe. Starting pitching is so scarce and valuable.
    In my opinion, the best way to rank pitchers and position players is based on trade value or in other words, who I would protect more.
    As always, Seth - you do a great job with your lists.

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    Great job and interesting. On trades if you give up pitching it is from single A and under. I Would not give up any pitching as the Twins need all they can get.

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    OK Seth, it is time for you to sit in for Mr. Ryan for a few days. Even though they were only at low A last year, Polanco and Kepler are both eligible for the Rule 5 draft because they were signed as 16 year olds (something I believe the league needs to fix). Do you add them to the 40-man roster over the next few weeks? And if you don't, do you expect they will be taken in the draft?

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    It looks like this thread is in the 'Article Archive' as opposed to 'Minor League Talk' like the others?

    This group leaves us with Buxton, Sano, Meyer, Stewart, and Rosario -- a pretty consensus (and impressive) top 5, I would imagine. I think they'll be in that order with maybe the pitchers flipped. Excited to read the write-ups.

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    Quote Originally Posted by goulik View Post
    What I love about these 5 names is their ages. Only Walker is over 20 and the 5 together average under 20.
    I don't know if that's a good thing or not. I think it speaks volumes to the types of players that the Twins are signing that in a strong system, young players they've signed in recent years are very exciting. Of course, youth means longer trek to the big leagues and more opportunity for falling back. But, I like all four of these guys, for sure!

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    Thanks for all the work on this, Seth. I enjoy reading the info. What is your best guess on Kepler's stat line in 2014? Do you care to make a prediction? I may be getting caught up on stats vs his potential because his last 6 months are a little concerning. After coming back from injury he did not seem to hit that well and in AZ he is doing ok. I understand that its about potential at his age and the AZFL is a league that is full of more advanced players. Additionally, nobody who is in the know (I am not one of those people) seems to be concerned. That said, do you feel he is due for a full season of more impressive performance?

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    "That said, I think guys like Harrison, Goodrum, Kepler, Berrios are likely to be one year at a time types."

    That's a red flag. The elite guys will have either skipped a level or have been doubly promoted at least once as they progress. It seems to me that those types don't make a "Top Ten List" until AAA or in a weak organization.

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    Quote Originally Posted by SarasotaBill View Post
    I would put the pitchers higher than Polanco or Kepler.
    If I could only protect seven players for a trade, I would give up Polanco or Kepler before Berrios or Thorpe. Starting pitching is so scarce and valuable.
    In my opinion, the best way to rank pitchers and position players is based on trade value or in other words, who I would protect more.
    As always, Seth - you do a great job with your lists.
    Thanks Bill, I hope you'll submit/post a top 20 prospect list on Friday! I always enjoy other opinions. I definitely think that the Twins need all the pitching they can get. I like the idea of considering which you would trade over the others. THere's actually an interesting tool that can be used to do that method. I try to look at which one I believe, at any given time, will have a bigger impact on the game.

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    Quote Originally Posted by roger View Post
    OK Seth, it is time for you to sit in for Mr. Ryan for a few days. Even though they were only at low A last year, Polanco and Kepler are both eligible for the Rule 5 draft because they were signed as 16 year olds (something I believe the league needs to fix). Do you add them to the 40-man roster over the next few weeks? And if you don't, do you expect they will be taken in the draft?
    I absolutely add both of them. Pretty easy choice, in my opinion. With their upside, a team would be willing to stash them on their roster. I have no doubt.

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    "That said, I think guys like Harrison, Goodrum, Kepler, Berrios are likely to be one year at a time types."

    That's a red flag. The elite guys will have either skipped a level or have been doubly promoted at least once as they progress. It seems to me that those types don't make a "Top Ten List" until AAA or in a weak organization.
    ... so you think that all Top-10 guys should fall in the Elite category? In my mind, not even all of MiLB's Top-100 are Elite prospects. Someone who exemplifies my thinking is Kyle Gibson, who was very deserving of his spot but not what I would ever call 'Elite'.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Steve Penz View Post
    Thanks for all the work on this, Seth. I enjoy reading the info. What is your best guess on Kepler's stat line in 2014? Do you care to make a prediction? I may be getting caught up on stats vs his potential because his last 6 months are a little concerning. After coming back from injury he did not seem to hit that well and in AZ he is doing ok. I understand that its about potential at his age and the AZFL is a league that is full of more advanced players. Additionally, nobody who is in the know (I am not one of those people) seems to be concerned. That said, do you feel he is due for a full season of more impressive performance?
    The fact that he missed the first half of the season, I still think he will start at Ft. Myers, but I am not 100% certain. His struggles against left-handed pitchers means he won't hit for real high average, and the Florida State League means there won't likely be a ton of power. But, he's a big, strong kid with good speed, a very good athlete. He's still raw. So, if you want numbers in the FSL, I'll try. How about: .260/.345/.455 (.800).

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    Quote Originally Posted by Kwak View Post
    "That said, I think guys like Harrison, Goodrum, Kepler, Berrios are likely to be one year at a time types."

    That's a red flag. The elite guys will have either skipped a level or have been doubly promoted at least once as they progress. It seems to me that those types don't make a "Top Ten List" until AAA or in a weak organization.
    I get your point, but I don't see it as a negative at all. Each of them are young and need the time to develop. Those four are likely not Top 100 guys, though Kepler and Berrios are probably top 150 or so. So, I woudln't classify them as elite. I would classify them as future solid regulars.

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    Walker at #10 !! Love it. This guy is underrated by MLB.com

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    You are a lot higher on Polanco then I am. Guess I want to see that for one more year. I'm not sure another team would be able to stash Polanco or Kepler on their rosters for an entire season. I wonder if TR will hold off on 40 man decisions for each of them for 1 more year. It definitely would help the org if they did.

    That said, anyone signed at 16 should be exempt from rule 5 for at least 5 years if not 6.

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