12-17-2013, 11:26 AM #121
- Liked 40 Times in 29 Posts
12-17-2013, 11:32 AM #122
Last edited by jokin; 12-17-2013 at 11:36 AM.
12-17-2013, 11:46 AM #123
" Minnesota doesn’t resemble anything much like a club that’ll find itself in playoff contention during the waning months of baseball’s regular season.
That’s not to say it won’t affect Mauer’s production, personally. After receiving a projection of four-plus wins from ZiPS last winter and then actually outproducing that figure during 2013, the erstwhile backstop receives here a projection of fewer than three wins as a first baseman.
Part of that is likely a product of whatever aging curve Dan Szymborski’s math computer utilizes. But a third part of it is due, also, to the positional adjustment for a first basemen relative to a catcher. Whether projected to record a 125 OPS+ (as he was last year) or 121 OPS+ (as with this one), that’s a less formidable number when it’s being produced by a first baseman.
Phil Hughes and Ricky Nolasco, are also likely to be Minnesota’s two best starting pitchers in 2014. That it’s because they’re the only two starting pitchers likely to produce at something better than replacement level, however, probably isn’t what one might call an “indicator for great success.” "
12-17-2013, 12:12 PM #124
Aren't there multiple writers on fangraphs? Couldn't that be why predictions/positions aren't always consistent?
Even on TD, you find variations among the bloggers.
12-17-2013, 12:14 PM #125
- Liked 564 Times in 369 Posts
Mn is positioining themselves for the future, I don't disagree with that. Not sure I understand your point, actually. Not sure what that has to do with "no one but someone with hindsight on message boards" predicted Doumit would be bad.Lighten up Francis....
12-17-2013, 12:22 PM #126
- Liked 813 Times in 513 Posts
Moderator note. Let's tone it down a bit people. Please remain respectful of others. There is no need to stereotype people here.
12-17-2013, 12:30 PM #127
12-17-2013, 12:33 PM #128